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HomeMy WebLinkAboutAgenda Packet 02/10/2015 Utility Advisory Committee Jack Pittis Conference Room Port Angeles, WA 98362 February 10, 2015 @ 3:00 p.m. AGENDA L Call To Order II. Roll Call III. Approval Of Minutes For January 13, 2015 IV. Late Items V. Discussion Items: VI. Information Only Items: A. Delinquent Billing Cycle Grace Period Update(verbal report only) B. Cable Television Franchise Focus Group Meetings (verbal report only) C. Seasonal Water Use Program Communications Plan Update(verbal report only) D. Bonneville Power Administration Strategic Intent (verbal report only) E. LED Lighting: A New Factor in Energy Conservation (verbal report only) VII. Next Meeting Date: March 10, 2015 VIII. Adjournment N:AUAC\MEETINGS\UAC2015\UACO21015\021015 Agenda.docx Utility Advisory Committee Jack Pittis Conference Rooms Port Angeles, WA 98362 January 13, 2015 3:00 p.m. L Call To Order Chairman Lynn Bedford called the meeting to order at 3:00 p.m. IL Roll Call UAC Assigned Councilmembers Present: Dan DiGuilio, Dan Gase, Sissi Bruch(3:28) Other Councilmembers Absent: Cherie Kidd, Lee Whetham, Brad Collins,Patrick Downie Utility Advisory Committee Members Present: Lynn Bedford, Betsy Wharton Utility Advisory Committee Members Absent: Paul Elliot,John LeClerc Staff Present: Craig Fulton,Phil Lusk, Sondya Wray, Kathryn Neal, Byron Olson, Heidi Greenwood Others Present: 2 Citizens III, Approval Of Minutes Chairman Lynn Bedford asked if there were any corrections to the amended minutes of December 09, 2014. Betsy Wharton moved to approve the minutes. Dan Gase seconded the motion,which carried unanimously. IV. Late Items: None. V. Discussion Items: A. 2015 Water Utility Engineering Services, Contract WA-15-005 for E Street Reservoir Improvements,Project WTOI-2009 Kathryn Neal, Engineering Manager, explained that professional engineering services are required to complete the design of the pipe and valve revisions, and a new pressure deducing valve station at the E Street Reservoir. The proposed contract with CH2M Hill Engineers provides scope and budget for design and construction support for the E Street Reservoir Improvements. The proposed contract also provides a budget of$15,000 that may be authorized during 2015 for other Water Utility engineering services that may become necessary. There was a lengthy discussion. Betsy Wharton moved to recommend City Council to authorize the City Manager to sign the 2015 Water Utility Professional Services Agreement with CH2M Hill Engineers in an amount not to exceed $47,556. Sissi Bruch seconded the motion,which carried unanimously. B. Recommendation for the Utility Advisory Committee Industrial Transmission Representative Phil Lusk, Deputy Director of Power and Telecommunication Systems, discussed a change in the Utility Advisory Committee's Industrial Transmission representative has been requested. Mr. Rob Feller, Manager of Technical Services for Nippon Paper Industries USA, Inc.has been nominated to replace Mr.Paul Elliot. There was a brief discussion. Dan Gase moved to recommend to City Council to appoint Mr.Rob Feller to serve on the Utility Advisory Committee and represent the Industrial Transmission constituency.Betsy Wharton seconded the motion,which carried unanimously. Vi. Information Only Item A. Seasonal Water Use Program Communications Plan Update(verbal report only) Information only. No action taken. Vii. Next Meeting Dates: February 10,2014 VIIL Adjournment: 4:00 p.m. Dan DiGuilio, Mayor Sondya Wray, Administrative Specialist II 0 N V � cd L ( � LL N 1 V M w U � a�o m f Ln a � L .— o CL o to ° ooh to C to tQ -°° C' � a) C�j .� � _ U O O to O C�j to C�j [� to � � O. U U U U � � Ll El 1:1 .................. . . .... ..... ......... ..... . ..... .. 0 ' U 4J, , co CL .� LL — N N V ld co L L S H — — N Ln W w Z 0 ,,,,, LU LA Z p Z LU �.., pZZoc (40 � 3 Z LL W 0 Q .� M * " N V LL csi c o f cr* ._ CL o ` N � O% U N f30 — N N O cd C�j CA pi �. O O cg O O bA N N O N > cd cd 4 cd N N cd CJ CA C�j 00 v N O CJ 4+ V U LL N W � ^� M W w V L a L o CL o to ° ooh C kf) ° a bA p N N p N c CA C�j Zs O.� O � C N N � O O O O bA N 61 'C�j U 0 0 0 j U N ® El 0 co N LL fps O t-.1 �+rV C14 C14 s ON .o •— _ M co Ln `a ......... .........� .........� .........�........ — N ' O W Z p Z � ZZoC H � t-. VCL LLa N �s ° rn r+n O f Q C cq ON U N N O cd � N � O N r cd O 2 '� r p O O N - r cd 4a � A. U � � cd U � � � N .� E R / U N N pC�j $D. N "0 N N �NN N c$ N CA CIJ N N cn CJ CA O O O O mo l� a, 1 w� M �/ / (,✓,, ,,ter' U) �, III/f Ii�� � ��r � � % l N yd 0 J i tr l rr/ ✓: r J/ 11 a/i J, r�,r, 1„ ;�,✓ l, rA, d ,,,Dl'r,Jrlllll -,J,,d r ,lJ„�lr,ll /„,�OP�,I,✓,,,,l�l,l /.r//9„� 1,1(IIIIIJII ,rl��� 'Qt are What's your vision for cable service and local community media in Port Angeles--now and for the next 10-15 years? The City of Port Angeles invites you to be a part of the future of local cable service and community media by participating in a series of focus groups on February 24-25. These focus groups are part of the Port Angeles cable franchise renewal process with WAVE Broadband. The focus groups will provide an opportunity for the community to learn about the renewal process and to share opinions about future services that could be available through the WAVE cable system. When and Tuesday, February 24 Wednesday, February 25 where e Vern Burton Community Center Port Angeles Skills Center Conference Room Room 230 9:30 to 11:30 am 3:30 to 5:30 pm Local Government: Administration, Pre-K-12 and Post-Secondary Department Heads, Staff, Board & Education: Teachers, Administrators, Commission Members and Elected Staff, Parents and Students All sessions Officials open to 2:00 to 4:00 pm 7:00 to 9:00 pm Arts, Culture, Music and Heritage Community, Non-Profit, Civic and Organizations: Staff, Boards Faith-Based Groups & Organizations: Volunteers and Patrons Staff, Boards, Volunteers & Clients The Buske Group, a consulting firm assisting the City with the franchise renewal processes, will conduct the focus group sessions. If you plan to attend, please RSVP to www.surveymonkey.com/s/Port_Angeles (or contact Gregg King at 360-417-4710 or gking@cityofpa.us) B 0 N N E V I L L E P 0 W E R A D M I N I S T R A T 1 0 N CLARIFYING BPA OBLIGATIONS STRATEGIC INTENT PAPER 01 91 Background This document is an expression of BPA's strategic intent developed in fiscal year 2014 through a series of conversations with BPA executives and subject matter experts. Initially the conversations were labeled "BPA long-term business strategy" with the goal of adjusting the current business model to continue to deliver value to the region. As the sessions continued, the group focused on critical areas where there were perceived tensions or conflicts between BPA's obligations to its regional preference customers and its obligations under its open access transmission tariff that required greater clarity, resolution, and direction. The dialogue centered on BPA's ability to fulfill its mission and meet its multiple statutory obligations as the industry evolves and external forces continue to affect BPA's traditional business model. Industry Evolution In 1937, the Bonneville Project Act created BPA and directed it to market federally produced hydroelectric power to customers, giving preference and priority in power sales to public bodies and cooperatives. The Act authorized BPA to construct, own and operate transmission facilities to deliver federal power at cost. BPA's marketing and delivery of federal power was bundled, with cost-based rates recovering both the costs of the federal power and the federal transmission system used to deliver the power to customers. For three decades, BPA and its customers benefited from hydro and transmission systems that had surplus energy and capacity. In 1964 the Pacific Northwest Regional Preference Act was passed which established a regional preference to BPA's surplus hydro power (energy and capacity).This addressed concerns that once the Pacific Northwest and the California and Southwest regions became interconnected via the construction of the AC-DC transmission line, that the preference clause would extend to entities out of region and threaten the use of federal power for Pacific Northwest needs. Under the operation of this law and policy, the needs of the administrator's power customers in the Pacific Northwest must be met first before surplus power can be sold extra-regionally. By the late 1960s, BPA anticipated limits to the hydro system and issued Notices of Insufficiency to investor-owned utilities in 1967, then to preference customers in 1977. To respond to the need for additional power (energy and capacity), the region's utilities began to plan to add new generation, mainly nuclear plants. In 1974, Congress passed the Transmission System Act that required BPA to be self financing and vested the administrator with broad authority to construct and integrate and transmit both federal and non-federal power. The impetus for the Act was to support the development of the Hydro Thermal Power Program whereby regional utilities would invest in the development and construction of non-federal thermal generation and BPA would construct the transmission system to interconnect such resources. By being free of the congressional appropriation process, BPA would be able to construct transmission on a more efficient and expedient basis. The Transmission System Act also required BPA to make surplus transmission capacity, capacity not needed to transmit federal power, available to all utilities on a non- discriminatory basis. After the 1980 Pacific Northwest Electric Power Planning and Conservation Act passed, BPA was authorized to acquire resources on a long-term basis to meet the net load requirements of regional utilities (if requested), mitigate impacts to fish and wildlife, implement the Residential Exchange Program, and acquire energy conservation as a resource to meet load. BPA was directed to offer long-term power sales contracts to its regional customers. Congress also reaffirmed the preference and priority to public bodies and cooperatives at all times in the marketing or disposition of federal power. In the 1990s, the energy regulatory landscape in the region began to change dramatically. In 1992, Congress passed the Energy Policy Act to create open access transmission and prevent undue discrimination. This act gave the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) the authority to order BPA to provide transmission under certain circumstances while assuring that BPA followed applicable statutes. In 1996, FERC restructured the electric industry when it issued Orders 888 and 889. Under Order 888, the following key Open Access Transmission Tariff, or GATT, policies were implemented: 1. Transmission capacity was to be awarded on a first-come, first-served basis. 2. Two types of transmission service were to be offered: Point-to-point, or PTP, which is transmission sold from Point A to Point B, and Network, or NT, service, which is a load following service intended to integrate various types of generating resources). 3. Transmission providers were required to offer to build transmission if they had insufficient capacity to satisfy a request for service. BPA is not subject to FERC jurisdiction under sections 205 and 206 of the Federal Power Act. Those sections provide the legal basis for FERC's Order 888 and 889 mandating that utilities adopt the pro forma open access transmission tariff. Although not required by FERC, BPA decided to adopt the FERC Open Access orders with certain modifications and "deregulate" with the rest of the industry. This decision was based on several directives or assumptions, including: • BPA would separate its transmission function from its power function and become the Regional Transmission Organization or Independent System Operator in the Pacific Northwest; • A 1995 Department of Energy memo supporting FERC's effort for national open access that directed power marketing administrations, including BPA, to support it; 2 • BPA could meet its statutory obligations under the open access transmission provisions; and • Additional assumptions stated in BPA's 1995 business plan. In 1996, BPA functionally separated into distinct power and transmission business lines. However, this split was based on assumptions about the industry's future that did not come to fruition. The region did not establish a Regional Transmission Organization or Independent System Operator. In response to sentiments aimed at anti-manipulation of gas prices, heightened fears about grid reliability, and a desire for compliance with FERC regulations, Congress passed the Energy Policy Act of 2005. The Act created section 211A of the Federal Power Act, giving FERC the authority to exercise jurisdiction over BPA and other non-jurisdictional utilities by requiring them to provide transmission service at rates comparable to those the utility charges itself, and on terms and conditions that are comparable to those it offers itself and that are not unduly discriminatory or preferential. FERC rarely uses this authority, but has used it at least once against BPA. The provision is similar to the provision in the Energy Policy Act of 1992, but does not specifically account for BPA's unique statutory obligations. Starting in the mid-2000s, the BPA Balancing Authority, or BA, experienced rapid increases in wind generation to over 4,500 megawatts. As a result, today the BPA BA experiences significant generation production volatility requiring additional reserve requirements in order to provide balancing services to the variable generation resources. Since the hydro system is only capable of providing a finite amount of balancing capacity for wind integration, BPA is continuing to explore collaborative and creative approaches to adapt to the changing industry landscape that will provide certainty to preference customers while meeting BPA's other obligations as an open access transmission provider. This document is intended to explain or summarize at a high level what customers and stakeholders should expect from BPA in key areas as we evolve to adapt to the changing industry landscape. A. CWifying obUgations to 13PA�s regional customers BPA's regional customers, established in BPA's authorizing statutes, include several entities including: public bodies, cooperatives, federal agencies, and investor-owned utilities. Since 1937 BPA has always met its power marketing obligations to supply federal power to serve the firm power needs of its regional power customers. In doing so, BPA must give preference and priority to public body and cooperative utilities before offering to serve non- preference entities. With the advent of open access transmission, BPA started to offer new power and transmission products to a broader set of users, such as marketers and independent power producers—including companies marketing wind power. As demand grew for these services, BPA began to realize that the available energy and capacity from the federal hydro system would not be sufficient to meet all competing demands, causing customers and stakeholders to be increasingly concerned about getting their "fair share" from BPA. As a direct consequence, ambiguity about "who BPA is here to serve" and uncertainty increased over time. 3 In FY 2014, BPA reviewed its statutory, regulatory and contractual obligations and affirmed that its preference customers are its core constituency. B. Morif'ying BPA�s obllluigatuioin to Ipreference customers BPA is obligated to meet its statutory and contractual obligations to preference customers so they can meet their total retail loads and load growth, minus their own non- federal power supply (i.e., the power they purchase and/or produce from their own non-federal generators). BPA believes that the NT planning and capacity reservation provisions of the FERC pro forma open access tariff are consistent with BPA' statutory obligations to its preference customers. Fully enabling these provisions will require a renewed partnership between BPA and its customers to jointly plan for their future power and firm transmission needs regardless of whether the customers' power supply comes from BPA and the federal power system or from nonfederal generation. To accomplish this, BPA will work with these customers and institute clear, transparent load service business practices to define the roles and responsibilities for BPA and its customers. Internally, BPA will create an integrated planning function to anticipate incremental power and transmission load service needs. C. Clarifying BPA�s approach to generation capacity As an open access transmission service provider, BPA has an obligation to provide Ancillary and Control Area Services, or ACS, to support basic transmission services, including providing balancing reserves for interconnected renewable generation. To date, BPA has primarily met its obligation to provide ACS using the inherent flexibilities of the federal hydro projects. The demands on the federal hydro system have increased dramatically since restructuring in the mid-1990s and the renewable resource boom in the Pacific Northwest that started in the mid-2000s.The competing demands for generation energy and capacity have prompted BPA to clarify that it will ensure preference customer priority and preference to the federal hydro system generation energy and capacity prior to making it available for other ACS services for non-preference customers. BPA will provide ACS to non-preference customers through surplus hydro energy and capacity, and BPA will be explicit in demonstrating the statutory and physical limits on the FCRPS. If the hydro system cannot provide enough capacity to meet all obligations, it is BPA's intent to acquire and dispatch nonfederal resources as necessary for non-preference customers. BPA will maximize the value of the system for preference customers by exploring new opportunities, including development of innovative and competitive product offerings derived from the unique capabilities and flexibilities of the hydro system. Offerings could include regulation response services for other regional utilities. 4 D. Clarifying 13PA�s comi mite ment to tlhe FERC open access transmission poHcies BPA remains committed to providing non-discriminatory open access transmission through the BPA GATT, so long as it can continue to meet its statutory responsibilities to preference customers and others. BPA will aspire to meet the spirit and letter of the FERC pro forma tariff by implementing a comprehensive BPA OATT compliance program. Ultimately, if BPA determines that it cannot honor its statutory and contractual responsibilities through pro forma language adopted in its existing GATT, BPA will consider revising its OATT and moving away from pro forma in those areas, as needed. In that event, BPA may not continue to pursue reciprocity and will not file its tariff at FERC for approval. Regardless of BPA's reciprocity status, BPA will continue to engage in regional and national energy policies related to issues important to the agency and its stakeholders. E. Clarifying 13PA�s approach to optimize operation of time Mancing Authority The Northwest has a longstanding tradition of addressing operational challenges through coordinated system operations, including the Pacific Northwest Hydro Coordination Agreement, Contingency Reserves Sharing and regional collaboration on wind integration. As needs evolve, BPA will continue with its tradition of collaboration to help the region and the western interconnection move forward in this time of industry evolution. BPA will collaborate with the region to make the current bilateral energy and capacity markets more efficient and may become part of a centralized regional Security Constrained Economic Dispatch mechanism if the business case and governance framework prove amenable to regional parties and demonstrate value to BPA's customers. As a consequence of functionally separating BPA's power marketing function from its transmission function in the mid-1990s, BPA's power and transmission operations evolved separately. This created significant communication barriers between Power and Transmission, many of which can now be eliminated through greater clarity and understanding of FERC Standards of Conduct requirements. Internally, BPA will take practical steps to further integrate communication and coordination between power and transmission operations to maintain and enhance reliability. BPA will work to increase coordination between power and transmission assets through, for example, improved redispatch during periods of system congestion. BPA will modernize its Balancing Authority through prioritized technological investments to maximize the value of the assets through efficient operations. These tools will increase situational awareness and visibility, and will be shared across the agency's power and transmission functions in order to operate the BA most efficiently and effectively. Adoption of a one-BPA commercial operations strategy will provide BPA with the core functionality required to meet modern standards for situational awareness, integrate non-federal balancing resources into dispatch, and better communicate with adjacent balancing authorities through evolving operational mechanisms and market designs. This will include efforts to increase dynamic transfer capacity and automate Remedial Action Schemes. 5 IF. Morifying BPA�s oro�e in regional transmission expansson Since 2008, BPA has played a central role in expanding the transmission system in the region through its network open season, or NOS, transmission policies in the BPA GATT. During a five-year period beginning roughly with the first NOS process in 2008, a significant amount of wind generation was connected in the Pacific Northwest. BPA acknowledges that in the future there may be dynamic shifts away from the traditional transmission expansion paradigm. The recession that began in 2008 caused electricity demands to decline and to grow at a slower rate, and substantial changes in market conditions and state policies led to continuing shifts in the business environment. As a result, some customers, particularly wind developers, determined they no longer needed transmission service they had requested from BPA. In addition, due to increases in distributed generation development and increasingly cost-effective new technologies, there are new dynamics affecting the roles and interdependencies between distribution and transmission. As BPA takes a central role in regional planning it will look for new arrangements and partnerships where system expansion is needed. The fast-changing landscape of the electricity sector and changing demands of the transmission grid will increase the risk of stranded costs to BPA's end-use customer base. BPA will critically evaluate how it is deploying its limited capital and will pursue alternative ownership and financing models to minimize its costs and debt burden. BPA will employ robust modeling scenarios to better understand what may happen to future transmission use as it determines how to evaluate and plan for the need for new transmission. BPA will ensure that the transmission system is planned in a manner that extracts the maximum value out of the existing system consistent with its load service obligations. BPA will be an active leader and participant in regional transmission planning. G. Clarify BPA�s approach to regional coHabooration BPA will collaborate with the region to advance a reliable, efficient and environmentally sustainable power system. BPA will continue to be engaged with the region to advance issues that are consistent with BPA's mission and where BPA's participation will be most advantageous to customers and the region. BPA will speak externally with one, unified and consistent voice. "One BPA" external messaging will be developed through a disciplined internal policy development process, effective cross-agency decision making and clear accountability.To the extent possible, BPA will consolidate and increase the efficiency of its BPA-led public processes to reduce the burden on its customer and stakeholders and to address constraints on BPA's internal resources. 6 <'� i ,,4,�-?',rr � , j,,. ,�f. � �,1 „„ �. � ,,, ^'✓ter iirnircii,;-oii,�in,iuiaiai� pia,.ioriaiviiaiirric„iaoiiiii iii v it<c i i i,✓„uc„r,ariria ���... of c,ilia iii�iineww�r iviivocri ro,,,.a�;nomi,%✓raio�eia.%i�i ieiiiri�,�ii aiiiie iin✓.:ii i ,riva� ,�;,:nor�i :,r.�ai i mein ,.iiii�aiixUaii., I i I I o _ t i t ;i. �,ti"� 1.i ... ,,. •,1t� C I �4': �`�' I f- 1!'t 1 '.;# t -.• � i ,� 11 I '1 I i' y .'� i � 1' 'I' i s • ^1 I it I �� 3 1 t - • '' W ,auk '� t,,. ' 1 WIN t W41,18 1- I, 1 �, v. [ +,, 1, �'.(�a, 1• 1 i #1 ?;.'►� 'K • 1 �1,� �-, � ',l �:t ,xe 1, i CLEARING UP , December 5,2014 - No. 1675 e Page 7 Continuedfrom page 3 lighting is about 2 percent, what growth factor for LEI) wasted was found roughly equal to the residual electrical lighting would it take to get close to an 80-percent market energy now consumed in Idaho and Montana. penetration for LED lighting by 2030? That's right--in theory, both Idaho and Montana could If we're really wasting 16 percent of all electrical be powered with the energy now wasted on inefficient energy by using inefficient lighting in this region, I lighting. Wasted electrical energy from inefficient lighting estimate this comes to a total of 3,225 aMW. Using a is the third largest "state" in the Pacific Northwest. regional CO2 production rate average of 587 pounds per Perhaps you're thmkmg that while LEIS lights may be MWh of electricity, carbon offsets are then estimated to a significant improvement,how long will it take for them total 7.522 million metric tons. to reach a dominant market penetration?The trajectory of By calculation, a 3.75-percent annual growth rate compact fluorescent lamps that now have roughly a 30-percent for LED lighting would achieve an 80-percent market market share Haight be illustrative,because most people do penetration of the estimated amount of electricity now being not make wholesale change-outs just for energy savings. wasted by 2030. That's a total of 2,580 aMW, and for Like many, I still have a few Cl~Ls left in their boxes. comparison, it would offset about 80 percent of the carbon This is because of their poor color-rendering index and that Washington's largest coal-fired power plant now ernits. the long time it takes for there to reach full light output. New Nude And there's still the first-cost issue, as some people will still opt for a cheaper bulb. flans to locate the first commercial small-scale nuclear Because LED lighting uses semiconductors and will facility are expected to finalize in 2017, with a likely therefore respond to a variant of Moore's Law, future siting in Idaho. The technology developer, NuScale products will be better and cheaper than today's. Power, and its customer, Utah Associated Municipal Recent improvements to LED bulbs have already Power Systems, expect the facility could be operating in increased lighting efficiency and color quality. Several as few as nine years, or 2023. manufacturers have ENERGY STAR-qualified bulbs Future small nuclear is estimated to cost roughly surpassing 100 lumens per watt. For comparison, the four to six times the cost of converting to LEIS lighting. typical efficiency of CFL bulbs is 55-70 lumens/W. Remember that when new marginal cost is greater than Traditional incandescent bulbs, which do not meet current average costs, then average costs will increase. light bulb efficiency standards, provide 13-18 lumens/W. There is also significant interest in building a similar Carbon Reduction small nuclear facility in Washington. A joint select legislative task force was created this year with a It doesn't matter if you believe in global climate $4-million budget to study how the state can advance and change or not—reducing carbon emissions on a "no support the use of nuclear power_ If a new regional thermal regrets" basis is a good thing. "No regrets" means taking facility is proposed,the Northwest Dower Act would action based on pragmatic measures that cut carbon require BPA to acquire the lowest-cost resources first. If emissions and save money right away, there is any doubt, a market test could help objectively According to the dean of the University of Washington determine the value of new thermal power. In the 1998 School of Public Health, increased carbon emissions Cost Review, BPA proposed a biennial market test for the affect regional temperatures and snowpacks, leading region's existing large-scale nuclear plant. to more droughts. Studies suggest that the current Given the projected fiscal requirements to modernize 14-percent annual probability of Washington having a the federal hydro system and maintain a credible energy water shortage will roughly double by 2020. conservation program, the region must prioritize these Reductions in carbon emissions are like money in the proven choices before it considers any new thermal- bank. Because of compounding, smaller savings today facility construction. should be preferred over the promises of larger reductions Dare to dream, but it just might be possible to in the indefinite future. For example, an annual rate of use an emerging technology to both close existing 3.75 percent starting today compounds to a total of about carbon-ernitting thermal facilities as well as to avoid 12 percent in just three years. constructing expensive new thermal-generation facilities_ If commercial LED lighting currently has about Why pay more when you can use less and get the same a 5-percent market penetration and residential LEI) result for less?[Philip Lusk]. �mn signify t reductions in bon pollution," v. lay Inslee Concerns About EPA Plan Details-from ' (D) said in his two-page cover letter of the state's comments, j I which were developed with Washington's ecology and While Washington strongly supports EPA's Clean commerce departments and the Washington UTC. Power Plan, the state's comments highlight 12 key "We stand ready to continue to assist you in this recommendations for improving the rule. priority work and urge the expeditious development and e offer the enclosed comments in flee spirit of adoption of your al rifle,°' Inslee added. rp ` e e e e e final rate will ive That said, the state suggests EPA use a multi-year Copyright C 2014,Energy NewsData Corporation U Cl) 015 (a C/) E 0 U) O >' O J ° .� `� `Q, U O Q CM T 0 O C E E `� ti @U U m O :1: --,,e S Q O cn a H D U cy) 6- FM Cie 0 cl- f %Rho i All r At 44/ wqgg / KrJ i / i / l MI, / , ri IM IIIIIIIII& / rii /�� �j !r / � , 'OiY i A /r / %'YllJiir/ iiiruu UI Y CD U) M a) W E LM U p �--+ a) U to O O � 0) — co E N O p O 0 0 4-0 z C) 4-0 N N N O -- O a) N C >, a) U) � � � O O 3: C: M C: N c� .� � O C0 .— O a) N p 3:, O o o o AW CD . t- C)a) Q O .5 N W 1 - U a� -� > Cl) C: C) M -P — N (� O W a) -27) U O n a) — J 0 U L 4-0 C6 Fm O N Q o v Q o .. o l#0120 f4 1111 r# J odd 4j17 OSb 4 Cl)40 j�� 011111 aO M 0 °J, � 1111111 r# �UhOJ o Odd 4p�o 0 07d�f SP/'l/ Q 0 1111111111 r#Q� �4hOJ spy�� O d� 2#o�d��4h°J rya, 0 111111111111111111111 '�o,�� 4hoJ P�4P IMO 111111 r# Jgaj ° Glo `Q o 111111 r#O H O ?4, J J p4ad ° 111111 /)o o 0 4 �+ N 111111 r# hO y� J,/ � uuuuiw, .. 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Thursday, March 5,2015 e//cuff asset logs omco /2015/0 /will®seae® ave®enou -water-this.htmi There has been a lot of discussion of the lack of snow in the Cascades, with snow melt being an important source of water during the summer and early fall. Should we worry about our water supply this summer here in Seattle and environs? The bottom line: wise management of water by Seattle Public Utilities and increasingly efficient use of water by the regional population will probably allow us to get through the summer without much problem. Although this year has been warm and relatively snow-free,there has been normal precipitation, generally delivered every few weeks by warm,wet atmospheric river events. Seattle Public Utilities (SPU) has a very nice website that summarizes the situation. From that website, here is the cumulative precipitation for the city's Cedar/Tolt drainages. The blue line is the long term average and the red line is the current year--we are very near normal. But the cumulative snowpack is a very different story. There is only a small amount of water in the snowpack (equivalent to about 2 inches of liquid water) compared to normal (about 30 inches). We are FAR behind last year(green line). But Seattle's water managers are a wise lot and they have learned from experience. There is always a tension between storing water for summer use and the need to keep the water levels low enough to deal with potential flooding situations. But since it is pretty clear from weather forecasts that flooding is not very probable, and the fact that heavy precipitation periods are rare after late February, SPU has gone into storage mode....allowing the reservoir levels to rise. In fact, they have allowed the reservoir levels to rise far about normal for this time of the year(see figure). Smart move. Another big positive is that water consumption is far less recently compared to a decade or so ago, even though Puget Sound population has grown significantly (see plot). Pretty amazing. That is due mainly to water-conserving toilets and shower heads. Also more folks are letting their lawns brown a bit in the summer or are planting drought tolerant plants. Even though last summer(green line)was much warmer than normal,we used less water than the average of 1998-2008. We can be proud of ourselves. Can we get through the summer without more snow in the mountains? My colleagues at SPU are confident they can. And if one does a simple calculation using the above figures (assuming use of 125 million gallons a day and keeping the reservoirs above the gray (low water conditions) area...we could get though September. But things won't be even close. We are going to get more precipitation during the remainder of this winter and spring. For example,the latest model runs indicate another wet, warm system coming in next week. For example, the 72h total precipitation ending next Thursday at 4 PM (see below) has several inches of rain over us, water that SPU will save for next summer. The fascinating thing about this year is that it is so much like conditions we expect in roughly 2070 under global warming: warmer, less snowpack,and near-normal precipitation. If we can get through this summer without much inconvenience it will be a good sign for our ability to adapt to a changing climate...at least in terms of drinking water in Seattle. But it will take wise management of our water storage and usage to ensure this. Addendum: What about eastern Washington? It looks like the Columbia River/Snake River systems should be in pretty good shape because they drain off of much higher terrain that does have substantial snowpack this year. More concerns about the Yakima Basin. 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